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Applied Digital Corp. (APLD) Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY25 revenue of $38.0M grew 41% YoY and modestly beat S&P Global consensus ($38.01M actual vs $37.12M estimate; +$0.9M) as hosting capacity ran at full utilization; Primary EPS (S&P methodology) was -$0.03 vs -$0.17 consensus, a significant beat driven by lower interest expense and improved operating leverage in hosting (consensus values marked with *; see S&P Global note below).
  • Strategic step-change: two 15-year CoreWeave leases (250MW) signed during the quarter (~$7B contracted revenue), and an additional 150MW option exercised post-quarter that would bring total to 400MW and ~$11B contracted revenue if finalized; first 100MW building targeted to be operational in calendar Q4’25 .
  • Directional guide: management expects a significant sequential revenue increase beginning in the quarter ending Aug 2025 from Polaris Forge 1 “technical fit-out” (customer-funded at a small margin) ahead of lease revenue commencement; project financing expected to close in ~4–10 weeks from the call date .
  • Balance sheet and funding: ended Q4 with $120.9M cash and $688.2M debt; subsequently raised ~$268.9M via ATM and Series G preferred, improving liquidity to support build-out .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Signed two transformative 15-year leases with CoreWeave (250MW, ~$7B revenue) and noted post-quarter exercise of a 150MW option that would take capacity to 400MW and ~$11B total contracted revenue if finalized: “These long-term leases mark a defining moment for Polaris Forge 1” — CEO Wes Cummins .
    • Operational progress and cost advantages: first 100MW liquid-cooled facility on track for 2H’25; design targeting PUE of 1.18 and near-zero water, with management estimating a 100MW customer could save ~$2.7B over 30 years vs other regions .
    • Interest expense fell sharply YoY ($4.5M vs $13.8M), aiding EPS outperformance despite higher SG&A; Adjusted EBITDA turned positive to $1.0M .
  • What Went Wrong

    • SG&A inflation: $28.1M (+115% YoY), driven by $9.4M higher stock-based comp (accelerated vesting and PSUs), +$3.4M personnel, and +$2.3M other expenses (insurance, software) .
    • Core non-GAAP profitability remains thin in the quarter (Adjusted EBITDA $1.0M; Adjusted net loss -$7.6M), reflecting transition-stage cost structure and ramp timing .
    • Cloud Services reclassified as discontinued operations; strategic alternatives remain under review (added uncertainty and reporting complexity) .

Financial Results

Q4 FY25 vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricConsensusActual
Revenue ($M)$37.12*$38.01
EPS (Primary)-$0.17*-$0.03*

Notes: APLD reported GAAP continuing ops EPS of -$0.12 and Adjusted EPS of -$0.03 for Q4 FY25 .
S&P Global values marked with * (Values retrieved from S&P Global).

Quarterly trend – continuing operations focus (revenues) and key P&L items (as reported each quarter)

MetricQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25
Data Center Hosting Revenue ($M)$36.2 $35.2 $38.0
Total Revenue ($M) (as reported)$63.87 $52.92 $38.01
SG&A ($M)$29.79 $22.72 $28.10
Interest Expense, net ($M)$7.48 $8.90 $4.50
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$21.36 $10.02 $0.98
Adjusted EPS ($)-$0.06 -$0.08 -$0.03

Margins and mix

MetricQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)(8)% (17)% (8)%

Segment revenue (as disclosed in each period)

SegmentQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25
Cloud Services ($M)$27.7 $17.8 Discontinued ops (excluded)
Data Center Hosting ($M)$36.2 $35.2 $38.0

KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25
Hosting capacity at full utilization (Jamestown 106MW + Ellendale 180MW)286MW
Contracted revenue from CoreWeave leases~$7B signed; +$4B option exercised post-Q (total ~$11B if finalized)
Cash, cash equivalents & restricted cash ($M)$314.6 $261.2 $120.9
Debt ($M)$479.6 $689.1 $688.2

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue cadenceQ1 FY26 (quarter ending Aug 2025)None“Increase significantly sequentially” driven by CoreWeave fit-out revenue (customer-funded at a small margin) before lease revenue starts Introduced directional guide
Fit-out revenue timingQ1–Q2 FY26 (quarters ending Aug and Nov 2025)NoneFit-out revenue to be recognized largely across the current quarter and quarter ending Nov 30, 2025 New disclosure
Polaris Forge 1 Building 1 go-liveCalendar Q4 2025On trackReiterated timeline Maintained
Building 2 (150MW) go-liveMid-2026On trackReiterated timeline Maintained
Building 3 (150MW) go-live2027On trackReiterated timeline Maintained
Project financingNear termNoneExpected close in ~4–10 weeks from call (dependency on advisors, seasonal slowdown) New timeline

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 FY25 (Jan 2025)Q3 FY25 (Apr 2025)Q4 FY25 (Jul 2025)Trend
Hyperscaler pipeline / leasesLate-stage Ellendale discussions, 400MW campus plan Negotiations with multiple US hyperscalers; MAM & SMBC support Two 15-year CoreWeave leases (250MW) signed; 150MW option exercised post-Q; additional hyperscalers in negotiations Escalating conversions
Build timelines & design100MW Ellendale under construction 100MW ready for service 2H’25 100MW in calendar Q4’25; 150MW mid-’26; 150MW in ’27; streamlined design reducing build times to 12–14 months Execution visibility improving
FinancingConvertible notes, MAM facility framework Closed $375M SMBC financing Project financing expected in 4–10 weeks; post-Q ~$269M equity raised Liquidity pathway defined
Cloud Services strategyGrowth but volatility Board approved sale plan Discontinued operations; strategic review ongoing De-emphasized; focus on DC
Hosting operations286MW hosting at full capacity Full capacity operations continue Full capacity; Bitcoin strength supports demand Stable utilization
Unit economics / capital costsFinancing terms for IG tenant: LTC ~70%; market cost indications; fit-out margin described as small Improving clarity

Management Commentary

  • “These long-term leases mark a defining moment for Polaris Forge 1... designed to scale up to 1 gigawatt” — Wes Cummins, CEO, on CoreWeave agreements .
  • “We’ve reduced projected build times from 24 months to 12 to 14 months” via SKU reduction, supplier consolidation, and repeatable design .
  • “This design is expected to achieve a PUE of 1.18 and a near-zero water consumption... a 100 MW data center customer could save up to approximately $2.7 billion over a thirty year period” .
  • “We’re actively working with our financing partners to finalize the project financing... over the next four to ten weeks” — CFO Saidal Mohmand .
  • “With the CoreWeave lease, we believe we’re now roughly halfway toward our internal goal of generating $1 billion in annual net operating income over the next three to five years” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Development cadence: Expect to break ground on one, potentially two, additional campuses before year-end, beyond Polaris Forge 1 .
  • Financing timing and gating items: 4–10 weeks; seasonal slowdown and third-party advisors can cause lag; identified lead banking partner aligned to expedite .
  • Additional customer pipeline: Advanced negotiations with an investment-grade North American hyperscaler; broader discussions with 4–6 hyperscalers across Dakotas and other regions .
  • Ellendale fit-out and ramp: Mostly fit-out underway; customer gear and cabling to follow; ramp expected in calendar Q4 (Oct–Nov) .
  • Delivery obligations and model: Standard late-delivery penalties apply; company focused on “full-stack colo” vs powered shell, given public-company economics .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q4 FY25: Revenue $37.12M (8 ests) and Primary EPS -$0.17 (7 ests); reported revenue $38.01M and S&P Primary EPS actual -$0.03 — both beats (values marked *; Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • APLD’s reported GAAP cont. ops EPS was -$0.12; Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS was -$0.03, aligning with S&P’s Primary EPS actual .
  • Near-term sell-side models likely need higher revenue for the next two quarters to reflect customer-funded fit-out recognition ahead of lease revenue commencement, per CFO .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Structural step-change from CoreWeave agreements (250MW signed; 150MW option exercised post-quarter) with potential ~$11B contracted revenue over ~15 years if the option’s third lease is finalized, materially improving multi-year visibility .
  • Near-term revenue tailwind from fit-out recognition across the quarters ending Aug and Nov 2025, even before lease revenue starts; watch for margin mix (fit-out at small margin) .
  • Financing de-risking likely near term (4–10 weeks), with terms for IG tenants typically implying LTC ~70%; added ~$269M equity raised post-quarter improves runway .
  • Operating leverage opportunity as hosting scales and interest expense remains lower YoY; yet SG&A discipline is key given Q4’s elevated stock-based comp .
  • Execution catalysts: on-time delivery of the 100MW facility in calendar Q4’25; lease execution on the 150MW option; potential additional hyperscaler leases in pipeline .
  • Watch classification/segment reporting (Cloud Services discontinued) and non-GAAP adjustments (debt fair value changes, SBC, diligence/litigation) to assess core profitability trajectory .
  • Medium-term thesis: repeatable “AI factory” build model, speed-to-power advantages in the Dakotas (target PUE 1.18; near-zero water), and expanding hyperscaler relationships can compound contracted revenue and NOI over 3–5 years .

S&P Global note: Asterisked values in the “vs Consensus” table are from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

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